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About Decision Rules

Many complex decision making problems can be reduced to a set of IF...THEN...ELSE rules.  This is especially true in making decisions in the context of operations tracking and process flow management. Some examples include:

There are several things to note here:

  1. All the rules are simple in format but almost all require complex extraction of data from a database.
  2. Some are immediate, such as to prevent or warn an operator, others need to be carried out periodically.
  3. For point-of-action data capture, there are a limited set of rules, which may or may not be applicable in each circumstance.
  4. Rules periodically applied may have greater variability in form and content than point-of-action rules.

For this reason:

It might seem a little strange that a system, which is dedicated to replacing Excel spreadsheets for manual data entry with automated data collection, makes such extensive use of Excel spreadsheets for rules setup. But Excel spreadsheets are familiar to most people and rule setup only has to be done once, whereas data entry has to be done continuously on every shift. They also provide an easy way for systems administrators, business analysts, manufacturing engineers, and IT people to configure these systems without having to learn a new paradigm.

The most critical things about the use of rules, as a form of Artificial Intelligence, for decision making are:

  1. They are deterministic and do exactly what they are configured to do.
  2. They require very little computing power and can therefore run in real-time on small computers.

This is unlike using regenerative AI algorithms for decision making where:

  1. These are based on self-adaptive statistical matrix correlators which are prone to making false recommendations (hallucinations) - remember there are lies, damn lies, and then, worst of all, statistics.
  2. These require execution using huge, expensive data centers in the Cloud, which are slow, very expensive, and subject to the availability of the Internet

For more details about the application of these rules, please see the BellHawk User Manuals

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